Highlights of NATO Summit 2023
The 2023 NATO Summit held in Vilnius, Lithuania, addressed many pressing issues affecting the transatlantic and global communities, including ongoing conflicts like Ukraine, security assurances for Kyiv, and NATO membership aspirations. The discussions also encompassed defence spending among member states, Sweden's membership application status, and an amplified focus on China and the Asia-Pacific region. Hosted by Lithuania's capital city, the Summit reaffirmed NATO Allies' commitment to mutual support, strengthened the Alliance's defensive posture, and held particular significance as the second Summit in Central and Eastern Europe. The meeting's objectives included demonstrating steadfast support for Ukraine through enhanced military aid, increased interoperability between Ukrainian and NATO forces, and the possibility of future security guarantees for Kyiv.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE SUMMIT
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine joined the allies at the NATO Ukraine Council's inaugural meeting, which was presided over by Mr Stoltenberg. To assist Ukraine in converting from Soviet-era equipment to NATO standards and ensuring that their forces are fully interoperable with NATO, the Allies have agreed to a new multi-year assistance package. At the Summit, allies also reaffirmed their commitment to seeing Ukraine join NATO and decided to do away with the need for an action plan for membership. This will convert Ukraine's two-step membership process into a single-step one. When allies agree that the requirements are satisfied, NATO would invite Ukraine to join. The Secretary-General emphasized that allies must make sure that there are reliable plans in place for Ukraine's security when this war is over. He expressed gratitude that so many allies have now committed to giving Ukraine long-term security assistance. A meeting of allies, including the leaders of Australia, Japan, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea, and the European Union, was presided over by Mr. Stoltenberg. He further declared that, NATO is a regional alliance but now it is facing global challenges. According to the Secretary-General, NATO, the European Union, and Indo-Pacific Partners must coordinate their efforts even more closely in order to stand strong for the rules-based international order in the face of Beijing's global assertiveness and Moscow's war against Ukraine.
Mr. Stoltenberg concluded by reaffirming that NATO has been more stronger than ever and expressing gratitude to President Nausda, the government of Lithuania, and the citizens of Vilnius for hosting this historic Summit. Washington, D.C., will host the next NATO summit in 2024, which will be the Alliance's 75th anniversary.
UKRAINE IN NATO
The issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO and further security assurances remained the Alliance's key concerns in Vilnius. At the Bucharest Summit in 2008, NATO officials, for the first time, declared their desire for Ukraine and Georgia to someday join the Alliance. At the time, Germany and France expressed vehement resistance to providing the two nations with a more tangible road in the shape of a NATO Membership Action Plan (MAP) out of concern for unnecessarily provoking Russia. The conflict in Ukraine rekindled the fight for NATO to create a route for Kyiv's goals. The member nations are still reluctant. Particularly, the entry of a member state involved in a war and the difficulties this presents in applying NATO's collective defence agreements under Article 5 are of the utmost concern. Before the Summit started, U.S. President Joe Biden declared that Ukraine was not yet prepared to join NATO, dampening hopes for a quick admissions procedure. Olaf Scholz, the chancellor of Germany, shared a lot of this opinion but not as much as the leaders of the member nations of central and eastern Europe. The 2023 NATO Summit ultimately provided some improvement on the problem, but it also increased uncertainty. On the second day of the Vilnius Summit, the NATO-Ukraine Council had its inaugural meeting after being established by Allied leaders. The group's purpose is to give Kyiv an official platform for discussions with allies while also furthering Ukrainian position and intent in the Alliance. NATO also acknowledged Kyiv's growing political integration within the group and the Ukrainian military's interoperability with its allies. As in the circumstances of Finland and Sweden last year, the Summit declared that Ukraine had advanced beyond the requirement for a MAP.
Nevertheless, one sentence in the Communiquè dashed hopes for any accelerated timetables or obvious routes for Kyiv's entry. According to a statement made by NATO officials, they will be "able to extend an invitation to Ukraine to join the Alliance when Allies agree and conditions are met." Many people criticized his vague phrasing, but Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the president of Ukraine who was present, branded it "absurd." NATO's stance on the issue is, in fact, purposefully ambiguous. On the one hand, Ukraine will most likely be unable to join NATO as long as it remains at war with Russia. To the Putin administration, however, NATO's ambiguous rhetoric conveys the same message: Ukraine will not be accepted by NATO as long as the war persists. The conclusion of the war is a necessary step for NATO in order for Ukraine to join the Alliance. Its collective opinion is that the best way to carry out this step is for individual member states to give Ukraine the different types of assistance it needs to put an end to the fighting as soon as feasible.
ASIA-PACIFIC IN TALKS
The Summit's attendance by Asian and Oceanic leaders like Japan, the Republic of Korea, Australia, and New Zealand shows the Indo-Pacific region's growing importance. France's opposition to a NATO Liaison Office in Japan was partly responsible. NATO's cooperation with Japan on weapons control, new technologies, space, supply chains, resilience, and innovation shows a commitment to common issues. This Summit addressed China's complex threat to the Alliance's interests, security, and values with unprecedented clarity. The Summit's Communiqué sharply criticized China's hybrid operations, cyber activities, aggressive language, and misinformation tactics that threaten Alliance security. China's dominance over crucial technical, industrial, and strategic sectors, essential infrastructure, supply networks, and economic power and strategic dependence were acknowledged. The statement highlighted China's challenge to the rules-based international order in space, internet, and marine operations.
NATO expressed openness to productive talks with China but reaffirmed its commitment to strengthening resilience, preparedness, and protection against China's coercive tactics and attempts to divide the Alliance. The Communiqué also held China accountable for pushing Russia to stop attacking Ukraine and stop backing Russia's military.
MAJOR TAKEAWAYS
The Summit covered the subject of defence spending, noting that several Allies had achieved outstanding progress since the original 2014 commitment to devote at least 2% of GDP to defence and at least 20% of defence budgets to investment in large military equipment. The Summit Communiquè also acknowledges the urgent necessity for increased investment to satisfy military obligations and properly equip primarily European Armies. According to the Summit, in order to sustainably meet the commitments as NATO allies, including to fulfil long-standing major equipment requirements and the NATO Capability Targets, to resource NATO's new defence plans and force model, as well as to contribute to NATO operations, missions, and activities, spending above 2% will frequently be necessary.
Moreover, Erdogan, the president of Turkey, surprised everyone at the Summit by changing his mind over Sweden's membership in NATO. Not only that, Erdogan has taken conveyed his intentions to show his moving back from appeasing Moscow in the wake of the Wagner Group's mutiny in Russia. Despite Moscow's best efforts to downplay and portray that breach as innocuous, it reveals Putin to be considerably more vulnerable than anybody could have predicted only two months prior. As a result, Erdogan has changed his position between the need to manage his ties with his enormous Russian neighbour and the requirement to remain a NATO partner. He has inclined towards being more accommodating to his NATO allies, at least for the time being.
CONCLUSION
During the Vilnius Summit, NATO effectively navigated significant geopolitical and security challenges, adopting a step-by-step approach to address these issues. The decision regarding Sweden's NATO accession marked a resounding achievement, providing a notable boost to the Alliance's influence in Northern Europe and reinforcing its independent decision-making process. The Summit also saw substantial strides in member states' commitments to Ukraine, resulting in immediate and enduring security assurances for the country. Discussions on China's influence, regional defence strategies, and a resolute message to Russia underscored NATO's readiness to protect its members' interests. However, the absence of concrete measures for Ukraine's membership highlighted a lack of consensus among the Allies, tempering the overall outcomes. Despite this, the Summit's declarations of support from member states and the G7 demonstrated a collective commitment to Ukraine's long-term security objectives. To sustain credibility, Allies must prioritize enhanced military assistance to Ukraine and greater investment in their own defence capabilities.
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Pic Courtsey-Jacek Dylag at unsplash.com
(The views expressed are those of the author and do not represent views of CESCUBE.)
